Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Tuesday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Accrington StanleyLeague One49.1%+11.5Accrington Stan 1 - 0 Wycombe WanderersLeague Two
Luton Townwin title51.2+11.1Luton Town 3 - 0 Carlisle UnitedLeague Two
BarnetConference16.8-10.0Newport County 1 - 2 BarnetLeague Two
Crawley TownConference12.8-9.7Crawley Town 3 - 1 Exeter CityLeague Two
Mansfield TownLeague One16.8+9.5Port Vale 0 - 4 Mansfield TownLeague Two
Crewe AlexandraConference19.8-8.9Morecambe 0 - 1 Crewe AlexandraLeague Two
ChesterfieldConference45.0-8.0Chesterfield 3 - 2 Forest Green RoLeague Two
Colchester UnitedLeague One5.2+2.1Colchester United 1 - 0 Lincoln CityLeague Two
Grimsby TownConference1.4-1.2Grimsby Town 3 - 2 Swindon TownLeague Two
Sport Club Internacionalwin title24.6+0.0Santa Cruz 5 - 2 JuventudeSerie B
Down
Port ValeConference26.0+14.3Port Vale 0 - 4 Mansfield TownLeague Two
MorecambeConference30.3+12.7Morecambe 0 - 1 Crewe AlexandraLeague Two
Exeter CityLeague One16.7-10.2Crawley Town 3 - 1 Exeter CityLeague Two
Forest Green RoversConference26.8+7.2Chesterfield 3 - 2 Forest Green RoLeague Two
Swindon TownLeague One14.3-7.2Grimsby Town 3 - 2 Swindon TownLeague Two
Notts Countywin title22.8-5.2Yeovil Town 1 - 1 Notts CountyLeague Two
Wycombe WanderersLeague One11.8-4.4Accrington Stan 1 - 0 Wycombe WanderersLeague Two
Newport CountyLeague One3.3-3.3Newport County 1 - 2 BarnetLeague Two
Coventry CityLeague One25.0-2.5Stevenage 1 - 1 Coventry CityLeague Two
Yeovil TownConference14.4+2.1Newport County 1 - 2 BarnetLeague Two

Wednesday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
CSKA MoskvavsBenfica79UEFA CL
Atlético MadridvsRoma72UEFA CL
BaselvsManchester United71UEFA CL
QarabağvsChelsea70UEFA CL
PittsburghvsVancouver7:00 PM35NHL
ColumbusvsCalgary7:00 PM33NHL
BinghamtonvsProvidence33AHL
CharlottevsBelleville31AHL
DetroitvsEdmonton7:00 PM26NHL
ColoradovsDallas9:00 PM26NHL