"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Thursday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
FnaticFirst Round Bye66.7%+27.3H2K 0 - 2 FnaticEU LCS Summer 2
Pittsburgh Riverhoundsmake playoffs33.8+14.4Pittsburgh 2 - 0 Tampa BayUSL
Associacao Atletica Ponte PretaLibertadores35.9+13.7Ponte Preta 1 - 0 CruzeiroSerie A
Clube de Regatas do FlamengoLibertadores33.3+13.4Flamengo 5 - 1 ChapecoenseSerie A
KPVwin title31.8+12.0KPV 3 - 0 JaroYkkönen
VPSUEFA EL59.9+11.4VPS 1 - 0 RoPSVeikkausliiga
Dalstorps IFwin title29.3+8.5Ullareds IK 1 - 2 Dalstorps IFDiv 2 Västra Gö
MisfitsFirst Round Bye33.0+8.1VIT 1 - 2 MisfitsEU LCS Summer 2
Tvååkers IFwin title23.6+7.1Tvååkers IF 1 - 0 Vinbergs IFDiv 2 Västra Gö
IlvesUEFA EL20.2+6.1Ilves 1 - 0 SJKVeikkausliiga
Down
H2KFirst Round Bye19.8-28.1H2K 0 - 2 FnaticEU LCS Summer 2
Coritiba Football ClubLibertadores48.0-12.2Gremio 2 - 0 CoritibaSerie A
Associacao Chapecoense de FutebolLibertadores30.2-12.1Flamengo 5 - 1 ChapecoenseSerie A
Ullareds IKrelegated41.0+10.8Ullareds IK 1 - 2 Dalstorps IFDiv 2 Västra Gö
IFK MariehamnUEFA EL21.6-9.7HJK 2 - 0 IFK MariehamnVeikkausliiga
Tampa Bay Rowdiesmake playoffs77.7-9.6Pittsburgh 2 - 0 Tampa BayUSL
Cruzeiro Esporte ClubeLibertadores14.9-8.9Ponte Preta 1 - 0 CruzeiroSerie A
VitalityRelegation37.6+8.1VIT 1 - 2 MisfitsEU LCS Summer 2
FC Honkawin title55.7-8.1KPV 3 - 0 JaroYkkönen
Esporte Clube BahiaSerie B24.6+8.0Corinthians 3 - 0 BahiaSerie A

Friday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
LancersvsBuffalo60NPSL East
SydneyvsEssendon7:50 PM54AFL
SplycevsROCCAT49EU LCS Summer 2
G2vsUoL44EU LCS Summer 2
Toronto FCvsNew England39MLS
Toronto FCvsNew England39MLS
TorontovsNew England39MLS
RochestervsOrlando7:05 PM36USL
OttawavsCalgary7:30 PM35CFL
ErievsSyracuse35NPSL East