"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Thursday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiraswin title42.6%+10.9Palmeiras 4 - 0 FigueirenseSerie A
Associação Atlética Ponte PretaSerie B8.2-10.1Santa Cruz 0 - 3 Ponte PretaSerie A
Clube Atlético MineiroLibertadores24.8+8.8Atlético-MG 5 - 3 BotafogoSerie A
BrisbaneWooden Spoon60.1-5.1West Coast 130 - 52 EssendonAFL
West Coastmake playoffs85.2+4.8West Coast 130 - 52 EssendonAFL
Coritiba Football ClubSerie B37.7-2.4Palmeiras 4 - 0 FigueirenseSerie A
Sport Club do RecifeSerie B46.9-2.3Palmeiras 4 - 0 FigueirenseSerie A
Cruzeiro Esporte ClubeSerie B27.4-2.1Palmeiras 4 - 0 FigueirenseSerie A
Tenhults IFrelegated37.7-1.8Assyriska BK 3 - 1 Dalstorps IFDiv 2 Västra Gö
América Futebol Clube-MGSerie B84.3-1.5Palmeiras 4 - 0 FigueirenseSerie A
Down
Santa Cruz Futebol ClubeSerie B57.3+11.7Santa Cruz 0 - 3 Ponte PretaSerie A
Botafogo de Futebol e RegatasSerie B49.2+10.8Atlético-MG 5 - 3 BotafogoSerie A
Figueirense Futebol ClubeSerie B30.0+8.0Palmeiras 4 - 0 FigueirenseSerie A
Dalstorps IFrelegated67.1+7.2Assyriska BK 3 - 1 Dalstorps IFDiv 2 Västra Gö
EssendonWooden Spoon38.8+5.4West Coast 130 - 52 EssendonAFL
Sport Club Corinthians Paulistawin title15.1-3.1Palmeiras 4 - 0 FigueirenseSerie A
Santos Futebol ClubeLibertadores27.8-2.5Palmeiras 4 - 0 FigueirenseSerie A
Sport Club InternacionalLibertadores34.4-2.5Palmeiras 4 - 0 FigueirenseSerie A
Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrensewin title11.2-2.2Palmeiras 4 - 0 FigueirenseSerie A
Clube de Regatas do FlamengoLibertadores36.1-2.2Palmeiras 4 - 0 FigueirenseSerie A

Friday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
BrumbiesvsReds65Super 2016
ChicagovsSan Jose52MLS
Salt LakevsDC United51MLS
TulsavsArizona8:30 PM41USL PRO
CalgaryvsWinnipeg10:00 PM40CFL
FlashvsStars39NWSL
AvaívsVasco da Gama31Série B
SouthernvsCanterbury28NZIHL
Atlético-GOvsNáutico22Série B
HamiltonvsBC7:00 PM20CFL