"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Saturday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Kilmarnockrelegated8.1%-14.9Kilmarnock 5 - 1 Partick ThistlePremiership
SunderlandFootball League One37.3-7.4Wolverhampton 0 - 0 SunderlandChampionship
Derby CountyPremier League12.3+6.3Barnsley 0 - 3 Derby CountyChampionship
Heart of Midlothianrelegated5.9-6.3Hearts 1 - 0 MotherwellPremiership
Norwich CityFootball League One1.3-4.1Norwich City 3 - 1 Sheffield WedneChampionship
Hull CityFootball League One2.7-3.3Hull City 3 - 2 BrentfordChampionship
St Johnstone FCrelegated2.9-3.2Hamilton 0 - 1 St JohnstonePremiership
Rangerswin title7.6+1.9Rangers 2 - 1 Ross CountyPremiership
Dundee FCrelegated27.6-1.1Rangers 2 - 1 Ross CountyPremiership
Leeds UnitedPremier League1.1+0.5QPR 1 - 3 Leeds UnitedChampionship
Down
Partick Thistlerelegated65.7+16.3Kilmarnock 5 - 1 Partick ThistlePremiership
Ross Countyrelegated31.1+5.8Rangers 2 - 1 Ross CountyPremiership
BarnsleyFootball League One15.6+5.6Barnsley 0 - 3 Derby CountyChampionship
Birmingham CityFootball League One81.7+4.2Fulham 1 - 0 Birmingham CityChampionship
Hamilton Academicalrelegated7.9+2.9Hamilton 0 - 1 St JohnstonePremiership
Burton AlbionFootball League One92.7+2.7Burton Albion 1 - 2 Preston North EndChampionship
Aston VillaPremier League7.4-2.5Aston Villa 0 - 0 MillwallChampionship
Wolverhampton Wandererswin title61.9-2.4Wolverhampton 0 - 0 SunderlandChampionship
Queens Park RangersFootball League One7.0+2.2QPR 1 - 3 Leeds UnitedChampionship
Celticwin title87.8-1.5Rangers 2 - 1 Ross CountyPremiership

Sunday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
ChiefsvsRaiders99NFL
Kansas CityvsOakland94MAD
JaguarsvsSeahawks61NFL
PanthersvsVikings55NFL
JacksonvillevsSeattle50MAD
CarolinavsMinnesota46MAD
ArizonavsTennessee43MAD
Los Angeles ChavsWashington42MAD
LA ChargersvsRedskins39NFL
BillsvsColts38NFL