"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Tuesday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Clube Atletico Paranaensemake playoffs54.9%+16.4San Lorenzo 2 - 1 Universidad CatolicaLibertadores
Club Atletico Tucumanmake playoffs17.7+13.5Atletico Tucuman 2 - 1 Jorge WilstermannLibertadores
Essendonmake playoffs58.0+12.9Essendon 100 - 82 CollingwoodAFL
Club Atletico San Lorenzo de Almagromake playoffs8.2+7.3San Lorenzo 2 - 1 Universidad CatolicaLibertadores
Club Deportes Iquiquemake playoffs22.4+6.7Deportes Iquique 4 - 3 ZamoraLibertadores
Club Atletico Penarolmake playoffs15.8+5.0Atletico Tucuman 2 - 1 Jorge WilstermannLibertadores
Clube de Regatas do Flamengomake playoffs95.0+3.3San Lorenzo 2 - 1 Universidad CatolicaLibertadores
HawthornWooden Spoon14.5-0.6Essendon 100 - 82 CollingwoodAFL
CarltonWooden Spoon20.6-0.5Essendon 100 - 82 CollingwoodAFL
North MelbourneWooden Spoon15.6-0.4Essendon 100 - 82 CollingwoodAFL
Down
Club Deportivo Universidad Catolicamake playoffs41.9-26.9San Lorenzo 2 - 1 Universidad CatolicaLibertadores
Club Jorge Wilstermannmake playoffs75.7-15.8Atletico Tucuman 2 - 1 Jorge WilstermannLibertadores
Collingwoodmake playoffs10.1-8.3Essendon 100 - 82 CollingwoodAFL
Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrensemake playoffs88.2-3.6Deportes Iquique 4 - 3 ZamoraLibertadores
Club Guaranimake playoffs89.3-3.0Deportes Iquique 4 - 3 ZamoraLibertadores
Sociedade Esportiva Palmeirasmake playoffs90.9-2.6Atletico Tucuman 2 - 1 Jorge WilstermannLibertadores
RichmondTop 470.6-0.9Essendon 100 - 82 CollingwoodAFL
Fremantlemake playoffs27.5-0.8Essendon 100 - 82 CollingwoodAFL
Western BulldogsTop 426.7-0.7Essendon 100 - 82 CollingwoodAFL
St Kildamake playoffs24.6-0.7Essendon 100 - 82 CollingwoodAFL

Wednesday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
Atletico-MGvsLibertad7:30 PM138Libertadores
MelgarvsIndependiente Medellin9:00 PM90Libertadores
Atletico-PRvsFlamengo9:45 PM89Libertadores
PenarolvsPalmeiras9:45 PM60Libertadores
La CoruñavsReal Madrid36La Liga
Crystal PalacevsTottenham Hotspur34Premier
BarcelonavsOsasuna28La Liga
IFK GöteborgvsHammarby7:00 PM12Allsvenskan
GIF SundsvallvsElfsborg7:00 PM11Allsvenskan
ÖrebrovsHäcken7:00 PM9Allsvenskan